{"id":15000,"date":"2024-10-09T11:05:09","date_gmt":"2024-10-09T10:05:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/?p=15000"},"modified":"2024-10-11T08:40:45","modified_gmt":"2024-10-11T07:40:45","slug":"green-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2024\/10\/green-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one\/","title":{"rendered":"Green Growth: Sustainable Future or Myth? &#8211; Part One"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull curved-bottom\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"939\" height=\"625\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith.jpg\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-post-image\" alt=\"Green Growth\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" data-object-position=\"55% 54%\" style=\"object-position:55% 54%;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith.jpg 939w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith-768x511.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 939px) 100vw, 939px\" \/><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\"><h1 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-post-title\">Green Growth: Sustainable Future or Myth? &#8211; Part One<\/h1><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2024-10-09T11:05:09+01:00\">9 October 2024<\/time><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"lead\">Green Growth asserts that continued economic growth can be compatible with staying in the ecological limits of our planet, with measures to decouple GDP growth from environmental impacts. It\u2019s become popular amongst policymakers, but climate scientists are sceptical that green growth can ever truly be green.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We continue our series <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/?tag=economics&amp;category_name=\">exploring alternative economic models<\/a>. Here, in the first of three parts, we examine the concept of green growth.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is Green Growth?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Green growth seeks to achieve continued economic growth that is more environmentally sustainable. It is popular amongst policymakers and international organisations. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), World Bank, and United Nations, have all developed strategies to incorporate it.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"939\" height=\"625\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith.jpg\" alt=\"Green Growth\" class=\"wp-image-15001\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith.jpg 939w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith-768x511.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 939px) 100vw, 939px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, organisations such as the Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI) are specifically dedicated to its promotion and adoption. The GGGI reflects a broader Asia and Pacific regional interest to \u201cleapfrog\u201d over the past industrialisation patterns of high-income countries that were resource intensive and polluting, contributing to the majority of greenhouse gas emissions, and avoid the trap of <em>\u201cgrowing first, cleaning up later.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WHat does green growth mean?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>How green growth is defined depends on which organisation you refer to.&nbsp;Recent publications have identified at least 13 separate definitions.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most prominent definitions are:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p><em>&#8230;a basis to sustain employment levels and secure the resources needed to increase public welfare [\u2026] transforming production and consumption in ways that reconcile increasing GDP with environmental limits.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<cite>The EU<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8230;<em>fostering economic growth and development, while ensuring that natural assets continue to provide the resources and environmental services on which our well-being relies.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<cite>The OECD<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8230;<em>growth that is efficient in its use of natural resources, clean in that it minimizes pollution and environmental impacts, and resilient in that it accounts for natural hazards and the role of environmental management and natural capital in preventing physical disasters.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<cite>The World Bank<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Of all the advocates, UNEP offers the \u201cgreenest\u201d definition. It favours a \u2018green economy\u2019, which it defines as one that simultaneously grows income and improves human well-being \u2018<em>while significantly reducing environmental risks and ecological scarcities.<\/em>\u2019&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"802\" height=\"601\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/no_one_cares.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15003\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/no_one_cares.jpg 802w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/no_one_cares-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/no_one_cares-768x576.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 802px) 100vw, 802px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This is in contrast to the World Bank\u2019s definition. It seeks to minimise environmental impacts rather than reverse or end them entirely. Given the current <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2023\/12\/un-tipping-points-report-and-population\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ecological tipping points the world<\/a> is facing many researchers fear is not sufficient. Instead we must focus on ending and reversing, rather than simply minimising environmental impacts, in order to solve the interconnected environmental crises of climate change, <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/biodiversity\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">biodiversity loss<\/a>, and increasing <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2024\/06\/dried-up-futures-drought-and-desertification\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">land degradation<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All four organizations agree that green growth relies on technological advancements. These advancements will improve the economy\u2019s ecological efficiency. The economy will extract natural resources in ways that reduce pollution. It will also use resources more efficiently, minimizing waste and reducing the need for more extraction. Governments must speed up this transition with the right regulations and incentives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Cost of Growth<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past two decades, economic growth has lifted more than 660 million people out of poverty and raised the income levels of millions of people. This economic transformation is most notable in China, where there has been a significant rise in living standards.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, economic growth has come at the expense of vast environmental degradation. In the case of China, its industrialisation and economic transition led to the <a href=\"https:\/\/environmentalchina.history.lmu.build\/forests-and-wildlife-in-chinese-history\/deforestation-in-socialist-china\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cgreat cuttings\u201d<\/a>. This was an extensive period of logging of China\u2019s forests for agricultural expansion and to build railroads. Decades of extensive deforestation has accelerated land degradation in China and caused the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.footprintmag.net\/chinas-decades-long-struggle-to-hold-back-the-desert\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">expansion of the Gobi Desert.<\/a> Economic growth reliant on extracting and commodifying natural resources, always comes at steep environmental costs. The challenge of green growth is to resolve this inherent tension.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Decoupling<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Green growth hinges on the concept of decoupling. This is a term that refers to an economy that would be able to grow without increases in environmental pressure. In short, GDP growth would be decoupled from any corresponding environmental impacts.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Absolute decoupling \u2013 that is a complete separation between GDP growth from any environmental impacts \u2013 would be required to achieve green growth under current climate commitments. This would mean that greenhouse gas emissions would need to be on a downwards trends, whilst GDP continued to grow.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"935\" height=\"621\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/janusz-maniak.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15002\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/janusz-maniak.jpg 935w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/janusz-maniak-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/janusz-maniak-768x510.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 935px) 100vw, 935px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Proponents of green growth argue that continued economic growth is necessary to ensure that low-income countries can develop their economies and lift millions of people out of poverty.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green growth aims to \u201cleapfrog\u201d the highly polluting and environmentally destructive historical industrialisation of the Global North and fast-track a path of sustainable development. It aims to reconcile low-income countries\u2019 urgent need for rapid economic development and poverty alleviation, with the need to avoid irreversible and costly environmental impacts.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Social and political inertia has constrained it, but proponents argue that it has significant potential.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>_________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is part one of&nbsp;<em>Green Growth: Sustainable Future or Myth?<\/em>.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2024%2F09%2Fbuen-vivir-the-good-life-for-people-and-planet-part-one%2F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2024%2F10%2Fagrowth-the-agnostic-approach-part-one%2F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-share\"><a class=\"fb-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2024%2F10%2Fgreen-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one%2F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\"><path d=\"M400 32H48A48 48 0 0 0 0 80v352a48 48 0 0 0 48 48h137.25V327.69h-63V256h63v-54.64c0-62.15 37-96.48 93.67-96.48 27.14 0 55.52 4.84 55.52 4.84v61h-31.27c-30.81 0-40.42 19.12-40.42 38.73V256h68.78l-11 71.69h-57.78V480H400a48 48 0 0 0 48-48V80a48 48 0 0 0-48-48z\"><\/path><\/svg> Share<\/div><\/a><a class=\"tw-share\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2024%2F10%2Fgreen-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one%2F&amp;text=Green%20Growth%3A%20Sustainable%20Future%20or%20Myth%3F%20-%20Part%20One\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\"><path d=\"M459.37 151.716c.325 4.548.325 9.097.325 13.645 0 138.72-105.583 298.558-298.558 298.558-59.452 0-114.68-17.219-161.137-47.106 8.447.974 16.568 1.299 25.34 1.299 49.055 0 94.213-16.568 130.274-44.832-46.132-.975-84.792-31.188-98.112-72.772 6.498.974 12.995 1.624 19.818 1.624 9.421 0 18.843-1.3 27.614-3.573-48.081-9.747-84.143-51.98-84.143-102.985v-1.299c13.969 7.797 30.214 12.67 47.431 13.319-28.264-18.843-46.781-51.005-46.781-87.391 0-19.492 5.197-37.36 14.294-52.954 51.655 63.675 129.3 105.258 216.365 109.807-1.624-7.797-2.599-15.918-2.599-24.04 0-57.828 46.782-104.934 104.934-104.934 30.213 0 57.502 12.67 76.67 33.137 23.715-4.548 46.456-13.32 66.599-25.34-7.798 24.366-24.366 44.833-46.132 57.827 21.117-2.273 41.584-8.122 60.426-16.243-14.292 20.791-32.161 39.308-52.628 54.253z\"><\/path><\/svg> Tweet<\/div><\/a><a class=\"li-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2024%2F10%2Fgreen-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one%2F&amp;text=Green%20Growth%3A%20Sustainable%20Future%20or%20Myth%3F%20-%20Part%20One\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\"><path d=\"M416 32H31.9C14.3 32 0 46.5 0 64.3v383.4C0 465.5 14.3 480 31.9 480H416c17.6 0 32-14.5 32-32.3V64.3c0-17.8-14.4-32.3-32-32.3zM135.4 416H69V202.2h66.5V416zm-33.2-243c-21.3 0-38.5-17.3-38.5-38.5S80.9 96 102.2 96c21.2 0 38.5 17.3 38.5 38.5 0 21.3-17.2 38.5-38.5 38.5zm282.1 243h-66.4V312c0-24.8-.5-56.7-34.5-56.7-34.6 0-39.9 27-39.9 54.9V416h-66.4V202.2h63.7v29.2h.9c8.9-16.8 30.6-34.5 62.9-34.5 67.2 0 79.7 44.3 79.7 101.9V416z\"><\/path><\/svg> Post<\/div><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull has-light-blue-background-color has-background is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Related content<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-grid grid grid-3\">\n\n\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-post-teaser\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2024\/09\/endless-economic-growth-unsustainable-for-planet-and-people\/\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3>Endless economic growth unsustainable for planet and people<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fas-khan-zydtqCd0T3w-unsplash-768x512.jpg\" class=\"wp-image-14754\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fas-khan-zydtqCd0T3w-unsplash-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fas-khan-zydtqCd0T3w-unsplash-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fas-khan-zydtqCd0T3w-unsplash-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/fas-khan-zydtqCd0T3w-unsplash-1536x1025.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/img>\n\t\t\t\t<p>As part of an upcoming project exploring alternative economic models, this article looks at how the current pursuit of endless economic growth drives environmental degradation and deepens social inequality. The traditional growth mindset prevails among our political classes, but it is not working for planet or people.<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n\n\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-post-teaser\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2024\/09\/redistribute-resources-eliminate-waste-circular-economy-part-one\/\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3>Redistribute Resources, Eliminate Waste: Circular Economy &#8211; Part One<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/paulo-carrolo-nba9MRXrZE4-unsplash-768x512.jpg\" class=\"wp-image-14790\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/paulo-carrolo-nba9MRXrZE4-unsplash-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/paulo-carrolo-nba9MRXrZE4-unsplash-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/paulo-carrolo-nba9MRXrZE4-unsplash-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/paulo-carrolo-nba9MRXrZE4-unsplash-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/paulo-carrolo-nba9MRXrZE4-unsplash-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/img>\n\t\t\t\t<p>A Circular Economy is an alternative economic model focused on the redistribution of resources and elimination of waste, for the betterment of both people and the planet. But is it achievable in a growth obsessed world?<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Green Growth asserts that continued economic growth can be compatible with staying in the ecological limits of our planet, with measures to decouple GDP growth from environmental impacts. It\u2019s become popular amongst policymakers, but climate scientists are sceptical that green growth can ever truly be green.","protected":false},"author":65,"featured_media":15001,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[13,14],"class_list":["post-15000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","tag-economics","tag-environment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Green Growth: Sustainable Future or Myth? - Part One - Population Matters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Green Growth is popular amongst policymakers, but climate scientists are sceptical that green growth can ever truly be green.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2024\/10\/green-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Green Growth: Sustainable Future or Myth? - Part One\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Green Growth asserts that continued economic growth can be compatible with staying in the ecological limits of our planet, with measures to decouple GDP growth from environmental impacts. It\u2019s become popular amongst policymakers, but climate scientists are sceptical that green growth can ever truly be green.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2024\/10\/green-growth-sustainable-future-or-myth-part-one\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Population Matters\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/PopulationMatters\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-09T10:05:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-11T07:40:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/matthew-smith.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"939\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"625\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Madeleine Hewitt\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Green Growth: Sustainable Future or Myth? - Part One\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Green Growth asserts that continued economic growth can be compatible with staying in the ecological limits of our planet, with measures to decouple GDP growth from environmental impacts. 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